TEHRAN - Eleven months have passed since Israel launched war on Gaza and many proposals have been put forward for a ceasefire in the Palestinian territory.

Almost all of these ceasefire proposals have been summarized by American and Israeli experts. Hamas agreed to most of these plans but Israel has so far opposed all of them.

Many observers believe Israel's opposition to a ceasefire in Gaza stems from its failure to achieve its declared goals in the war. Nonetheless, Benjamin Netanyahu is seen as the only obstacle regarding the inconclusiveness of recent ceasefire talks held in Doha and Cairo.

Presently, even though all regional parties and even the US are trying to broker an agreement between Israel and Hamas, Netanyahu is against halting the war even temporarily for a few weeks.

For now, the United States’ ulterior motives rather than Israel’s genocidal war in Gaza and its humanitarian consequences have raised a strong possibility of a ceasefire. However, Netanyahu rejects even the ceasefire proposals which are completely in line with the ideas of the White House.

This is while, the US needs a ceasefire in Gaza on the eve of the presidential election, and this issue has created a golden opportunity for the war-torn Palestinian people and regional countries to manage the tensions.

Israel has narrowly survived the 11-month Gaza war mainly due to US legal, political and military support.

Washington is not only trying to focus on the November presidential election, but also trying to create the impression that a ceasefire in the Palestinian territory would constitute an achievement for the Democrats.

The simultaneity of the US presidential election and the Gaza war will make it difficult for Washington to manage tensions in West Asia. Hence, the White House has acquiesced to de-escalate the conflict. Tel Aviv’s opposition to Washington’s tactical move will have severe consequences for both of them in the region.

Why doesn’t Netanyahu accept any kind of agreement to end the war in Gaza? Netanyahu has doubled down on his conditions for the presence of the Israeli troops on the Philadelphi Corridor, bordering Egypt, and the Netzarim Corridor, which separates north and south Gaza. However, Israeli security chiefs have admitted that the withdrawal of the regime's forces from these two corridors is less costly. 

It is obvious that Israel’s refusal to completely withdraw from Gaza will mean that the ceasefire in the territory will be fragile. Besides, the spillover of the war into the West Bank will lead to the expansion of martyrdom operations in the occupied Palestinian territory.

Meanwhile, protests are growing inside Israel against Netanyahu’s policies.   Wrong decisions and war strategies have led to the creation of a bipolar atmosphere within the Israeli society.  The bipolar view of maintaining Israeli troops on the Philadelphi Corridor and the release of captives has thrown a spotlight on this gap which has become a political crisis for the regime.

The political crisis of the Zionist regime caused by deep divisions has damaged its political reputation more than ever. This political crisis has also dealt a serious blow to the regime’s two basic principles; legitimacy and acceptability.

Before October 7, Israel was the scene of huge protests against Netanyahu’s judicial reform plans. Hence, Netanyahu expanded the war in Gaza to divert attention away from his controversial reforms. 

But, the Gaza war shielded Netanyahu from strong domestic criticism just for a period of time.

Netanyahu is currently worried that the end of the war in Gaza will lead to the collapse of his coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This could pave the way for new elections, which will most likely lead to the defeat of Netanyahu and his allies. Facts on the ground also show that if the Netanyahu cabinet collapses before the 2026 vote, he will have an outside chance of winning snap elections.

The war in Gaza has put Netanyahu in a very difficult position. Netanyahu’s international and domestic isolation is among the achievements of the axis of resistance amid the Gaza war.  Western experts have also admitted that Netanyahu’s failure to accept the Gaza ceasefire deal, will accelerate the process of Israel’s strategic defeat.

The continuation of the war in Gaza amounts to a new intifada. This means that the consequences of the Gaza war and its spillover will further damage Israel's deteriorating economy.

This is while, Israel’s chaotic social and economic situation has got worse after rejecting the ceasefire and also amid fears that Iran may carry out a retaliatory attack against the regime over the assassination of Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.

Likewise, the position of Israel in the world’s public opinion has hit rock bottom. Furthermore, the legal battle in international courts to try the regime’s leaders has received increasing international support.

This path will also further erode America’s global position and raise the possibility of further military conflict in West Asia.

The US is well aware that the further weakening of Israel will severely weaken Washington’s positions not only against Iran and the axis of resistance, but also against the regional Arab countries.

From this point of view, the end of the war in Gaza and the acceptance of Hamas’ conditions provide the opportunity for the White House to adopt long-term, low-cost measures to maintain the positions of the US and Israel in West Asia.

Israel’s image has been tarnished due to the genocide of Palestinians as well as its domestic political and social crises.

The erosion of Israel’s image has been a red line for the United States. Hence, Washington has been trying to broker a ceasefire in Gaza.

The US is more concerned about Israel’s future existence than the leaders of the regime.

For the United States, Israel’s war on Gaza is reminiscent of its failed wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. The US knows that internal collapse rather than failures on the battlefield will bring Israel to its knees and seal the regime’s fate. 

The US has leaned a painful lesson from its warmongering policies and realized that a ceasefire is the only way that can rescue the Zionist regime from the quagmire of the Gaza war.

Currently, the only way to achieve a ceasefire in Gaza is to follow the lead of Hamas because the resistance movement has reiterated that it will not withdraw from its demands.