TEHRAN PAPERS

The failure of Western sanctions

January 22, 2024 - 22:56

TEHRAN - In a commentary, Hamshahri discussed the successful launch of the Soraya satellite.

It wrote: Analysts believe that the Islamic Republic has taken a big step in the development of its space program with this action. Israeli media claimed that the continuation of Iran's space program could lead to the escalation of tensions in the region. They believe that Iran's progress in space will increase Iran's strategic capability in the field of ballistic missiles. An important issue that has attracted the attention of international media and analysts is the failure of Western sanctions to stop Iran's space program and the concern of the progress of the Islamic Republic's space program after the expiration of UN sanctions in October of last year. In such a situation, international observers believe that the Western sanctions have not only failed to stop Iran's activities in the space field but in the evaluations of the American intelligence community, it has been claimed that "the development of satellite launch devices by Iran can potentially speed up the timeline of this country for developing an intercontinental ballistic missile due to similar technology."

Arman-e-Melli: Regional equations became more complicated

In a note, Arman-e-Melli discussed the missile attack on Ayn al-Asad Air Base by Iraq and wrote: This attack shows that all the power equations in the region have undergone fundamental changes and the resistance in the region has set its goal to expel the United States from Iraq. Although some are trying to attribute the attacks of resistance in Iraq on American bases to Iran, the fact is that Iran has no responsibility for this connection and the resistance groups in the region are not Tehran's representative in the fight against America. From this point of view, Tehran has not played any role in the attack on American bases in Iraq and Syria. But the equations in the region have become a little more complicated, and if their number increases, it is no longer possible to speak on the tension management by the Americans. In this situation, America itself will become a factor for more tension in the region, and the possibility of remaining in this tension will disrupt America's focus on the future order of power and even security management of power in the world. Therefore, it is unlikely that the United States will take any action under the current conditions that will cause deep challenges.

Iran: Launching the India-Iran-Turkey shipping line

The Iran newspaper wrote in an analysis: Considering the position of Chabahar port in the north-south corridor as the only oceanic port in the country, the establishment of shipping lines in this port has been put on the agenda, which will lead to the growth of goods transportation operations in the north-south corridor in the Chabahar port. Considering that the plan to launch regular shipping lines in Chabahar is on the agenda, the rail connection of this port will revolutionize cargo movement and transit. Based on this, to establish regular shipping lines in Chabahar, in the first phase, the goal is to establish a direct line from Chabahar to India, and in the second phase, the goal is to establish a direct line from Chabahar to China. One of the reasons that the Chabahar Port route is needed by the maritime transport sector, in addition to Bandar Abbas, is the condition of Chabahar Port because large ships can easily dock there. Therefore, for the success and development of the North-South Corridor and to maintain Iran's position in the competitive market of the region, especially in the Persian Gulf and Oman Sea, the development of Chabahar port has gained double importance.

Shargh: Iran's nuclear case under the shadow of two wars

In an interview with foreign policy commentator Ali Loghmani, Shargh discussed the situation of Iran's nuclear case in the middle of regional conflicts and said: Since the Al-Aqsa storm operation and the subsequent war between Hamas and Israel, other issues have been overshadowed, one of them is the case of Iran's nuclear activities. Recently, the positions of Rafael Grossi, the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, caused the relations between Tehran and the Agency to return to the headlines. The continuation of the war in Ukraine, as well as the war between Hamas and Israel, along with the regional tensions in the Middle East, have created concern in the West that a favorable space has been provided for Iran to reach the nuclear deterrence point. Therefore, regarding Iran, some kind of managed and intelligent pressure will probably be put on the agenda, which on the one hand will not push Tehran towards increasing the level of enrichment up to 90%, and on the other hand, reduces the speed of Iran's nuclear activities, or in a realistic scenario freezes the situation at the current point and keeps it fixed.
 

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