TEHRAN PAPERS

Capacity building instead of military action

September 21, 2024 - 19:55

TEHRAN - In an analysis, Donya-e-Eqtesad discussed how Iran can restore deterrence power and prevent a regional war.

It wrote: It seems that Israel is trying to increase the scope of the war and start wars with those countries it sees as regional rivals, i.e. Hezbollah and Iran. A direct attack on Iran will violate the country’s red lines and will force Tehran to respond militarily. In addition, a conventional war with Israel could turn into a direct conflict with the United States, which would likely be very costly. Tehran should restore deterrence and at the same time avoid regional war. Iran's response to Haniyeh's assassination could serve as an example to accelerate capacity building. Also, by using its allies, Iran can promote its tactical deterrence and focus on its nuclear program as a final deterrence. A comprehensive war will increase the risk of final nuclear deterrence.

Kayhan: The problem of sanctions is America, not FATF!

In a note, Kayhan discussed the issue of FATF in the 14th (sitting) government by quoting Masoud Barati, an expert on sanctions, who says: In the third report of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to Majlis (Parliament) on the implementation of the JCPOA, it was stated that despite the lifting of sanctions, Iran will remain on the FATF blacklist. Therefore, there have been problems in establishing foreign banking relations that must be resolved. This is while the main problem of foreign banking relations can be proved both historically and analytically, and it is related to unilateral U.S. sanctions against Iran's banking system, not the FATF. Now, Pezeshkian has declared the follow-up of this issue as a priority. Having said that, time will be spent to follow up on this unreal issue inside, and for some time more media-political projects will be active, and in the end, nothing will be achieved in line with the interests of the people. We should only hope that new costly international obligations will not be created for Iran in this direction.

Iran: A show of consensus in the diplomatic conflict with the West

The Iran newspaper investigated the first attendance of the new Iranian President, Masoud Pezeshkian, at the UN General Assembly and said: Pezeshkian plans to go to New York with a message of peace and hope. He is trying to improve Iran's relations with most of the countries in the region and respond to the recent approach of Europe and America. The president has shown that while knowing the communication routes, he welcomes the policy of win-win interaction with Western countries. At the same time, he believes and is loyal to the policy of serious cooperation with the geographical East. Now the region and the larger world are affected by the wars in Gaza and Ukraine, and also the need to resolve the deadlock in nuclear negotiations and lift sanctions. Upon an approach influenced by overt and hidden diplomacy in the region, the 14th government is trying to prevent Netanyahu from turning the current war into an opportunity to save himself from the self-created internal and external crises. The 14th government is trying to organize an intra-regional cooperation system to gradually reduce pessimism and build trust by creating peace in the region and a help create a common security system.

Etemad: Israeli conspiracies and possible scenario for Iran and Hezbollah

In a commentary, Etemad discussed Israel's conspiracies and wrote: Israel is trying to use any tools to drag Iran and its allies into a full-scale conflict in the region. One of the last and most terrible actions of the occupation regime was the disinformation warfare operations. Israel has created a new front for conflicts with a security intrusion and detonating the pagers of Hezbollah members, exactly similar to the approach used in the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. This regime knows very well that it cannot face Iran and its allied forces alone. In this sensitive situation, Lebanon's Hezbollah and Iran are faced with two difficult options: if they do not respond to Israel's provocations, they may lose their credibility among their supporters and allies, but if they respond, they will face a strong reaction from America and other Israeli allies. In such a complicated situation, Iran and Lebanon's Hezbollah must carefully choose their strategies so that they can stay away from Israel's provocations and at the same time maintain their credibility and military power and put Israel under international pressure through diplomatic channels and isolate it.